In ‘Dirty Wars’, Jeremy Scahill, author of the ‘New York Times’ best-seller ‘Blackwater’, takes us inside America’s new covert wars. The foot soldiers in these battles operate globally and inside the United States with orders from the White House to do whatever is necessary to hunt down, capture or kill individuals designated by the president as enemies. Drawn from the ranks of the Navy SEALs, Delta Force, former Blackwater and other private security contractors, the CIA’s Special Activities Division and the Joint Special Operations Command ( JSOC), these elite soldiers operate worldwide, with thousands of secret commandos working in more than one hundred countries. Funded through black budgets,” Special Operations Forces conduct missions in denied areas, engage in targeted killings, snatch and grab individuals and direct drone, AC-130 and cruise missile strikes. While the Bush administration deployed these ghost militias, President Barack Obama has expanded their operations and given them new scope and legitimacy. ‘Dirty Wars’ follows the consequences of the declaration that “the world is a battlefield,” as Scahill uncovers the most important foreign policy story of our time.

From Afghanistan to Yemen, Somalia and beyond, Scahill reports from the frontlines in this high-stakes investigation and explores the depths of America’s global killing machine. He goes beneath the surface of these covert wars, conducted in the shadows, outside the range of the press, without effective congressional oversight or public debate. And, based on unprecedented access, Scahill tells the chilling story of an American citizen marked for assassination by his own government. As US leaders draw the country deeper into conflicts across the globe, setting the world stage for enormous destabilization and blowback, Americans are not only at greater risk, we are changing as a nation. Scahill unmasks the shadow warriors who prosecute these secret wars and puts a human face on the casualties of unaccountable violence that is now official policy: victims of night raids, secret prisons, cruise missile attacks and drone strikes, and whole classes of people branded as “suspected militants.” Through his brave reporting, Scahill exposes the true nature of the dirty wars the United States government struggles to keep hidden.
Jeremy Scahill is National Security Correspondent for ‘The Nation’ magazine and author of the ‘New York Times’ best-seller ‘Blackwater: The Rise of the World’s Most Powerful Mercenary Army’. He is a Puffin Foundation Writing Fellow at The Nation Institute. He has reported from Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, Yemen, the former Yugoslavia, and elsewhere across the globe. Scahill is a frequent guest on a wide array of programs, appearing regularly on ‘The Rachel Maddow Show’, ‘Real Time with Bill Maher’, and ‘Democracy Now!’ He has also appeared on ‘Fresh Air’, ABC ‘World News’, CBS ‘Evening News’, NBC ‘Nightly News’, CNN, PBS ‘NewsHour’, and Bill Moyers Journal. Scahill’s work has sparked several Congressional investigations and won some of journalism’s highest honors. He was twice awarded the prestigious George Polk Award, in 1998 for foreign reporting and in 2008 for his book ‘Blackwater’. He is also a producer and writer of the film ‘Dirty Wars’, selected for the US documentary competition at the 2013 Sundance Film Festival.

Review
“Dirty Wars will earn its place in history as one of the most important pieces of literature related to over a decade of failed American foreign policy strategy that continues to exist to this day. It’s also one of the most grounded and thoroughly researched books I’ve read on the subject of covert U.S. operations in the 21st Century. A must read for anyone that cares about this country and the direction we are heading.”
Brandon Webb, retired member of Navy SEAL Team Three, former lead sniper instructor at the US Naval Special Warfare Command and author of the New York Times bestseller The Red Circle

“Dirty Wars tells us, with convincing detail and much new information, what has been done in the name of America since 9/11.”
Seymour Hersh, Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative journalist

“[One] of the best intelligence reporters on the planet…Scahill has covered the worldwide wanderings of JSOC task forces and their intersection for years, and he takes a deeper look at their expanded post 9/11 mission set. He has incredible sources…”
Marc Ambinder, editor-at-large of The Week

“Dirty Wars is the most thorough and authoritative history I’ve read yet of the causes and consequences of America’s post 9/11 conflation of war and national security. I know of no other journalist who could have written it: For over a decade, Scahill has visited the war zones, overt and covert; interviewed the soldiers, spooks, jihadists, and victims; and seen with his own eyes the fruits of America’s bipartisan war fever. He risked his life many times over to write this book, and the result is a masterpiece of insight, journalism, and true patriotism.”
Barry Eisler, novelist and former operative in the CIA’s Directorate of Operations

“There is no journalist in America who has exposed the truth about US government militarism more bravely, more relentlessly and more valuably than Jeremy Scahill. Dirty Wars is highly gripping and dramatic, and of unparalleled importance in understanding the destruction being sown in our name.”
Glenn Greenwald, New York Times best-selling author and Guardian columnist

“A surefire hit for fans of Blackwater and studded with intriguing, occasionally damning material.”
Kirkus Reviews

The post Jeremy Scahill on Dirty Wars: The World is a Battlefield appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

(Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 11) Andrea is currently a tropical storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (40 kts), moving northeast at 35 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the storm center.

click on image for storm summary

The post Storm Summary for Tropical Storm Andrea Friday, June 7, 2013 at 11 PM HST appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

Click image above to view storm summary

The post Storm Summary for Tropical Storm Andrea Friday, June 7, 2013 at 2 PM HST appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013

Tropical Storm Andrea Advisory #7

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 80.7W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 85NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 80.7W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 81.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 35.0N 78.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.5N 73.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.5N 67.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 46.5N 58.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 46.0N 40.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 80.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

—-Wind Speed Probabilities—-

000
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS…45 MPH…75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE

CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.

- – - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES – - -

VALID TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - -
DISSIPATED X 3 7 13 16 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 14 26 31 39 34 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 85 68 59 46 46 NA NA
HURRICANE 1 3 4 3 5 NA NA
- – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - -
HUR CAT 1 1 3 4 3 4 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA

II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- – - – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – - – -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - -
LOCATION KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) X(26)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 12(27) X(27) X(27)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)

PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)

EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)

HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 33(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 38(38) 7(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)

EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

PORTLAND ME 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BOSTON MA 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)

HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 37(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA 34 X 7( 7) 46(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 7( 7) 18(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

HARTFORD CT 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

MONTAUK POINT 34 X 15(15) 16(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NEW YORK CITY 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

NEWARK NJ 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

TRENTON NJ 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)

DOVER DE 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 38(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

RICHMOND VA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

NORFOLK NAS 34 8 38(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)

NORFOLK VA 34 10 41(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)

WALLOPS CDA 34 1 38(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)

RALEIGH NC 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

CAPE HATTERAS 34 26 28(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 62 5(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)

WILMINGTON NC 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
WILMINGTON NC 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)

CHARLESTON SC 34 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)

SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

MAYPORT NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

—-OUTLOOK—-

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK – ATLANTIC
———————————–

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ANDREA…LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE…NEAR 0 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
WWWW

——————-

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT VIERNES 7 DE JUNIO DE 2013

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE…EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO…

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL ANDREA…LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA.

UNA PEQUENA AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA CERCA DE 750 MILLAS AL
ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES SE HA TORNADO MENOS ORGANIZADA DURANTE
LAS PASADAS HORAS. VIENTOS FUERTES EN LA ALTA ATMOSFERA SE ESPERAN
QUE PREVENGA CUALQUIER DESARROLLO DE ESTE DISTURBIO. ESTE SISTEMA
TIENE UNA POSIBILIDAD BAJA…CERCA DE 0 PORCIENTO…DE CONVERTIRSE
EN UN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS SEGUN SE MUEVA
AL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA DE 15 MPH. INFORMACION ADICIONAL A ESTE
SISTEMA PUEDE SER ENCONTRADA EN EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR EMITIDO
POR EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA…NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

&&

EL PRONOSTICO DE ALTA MAR ES EMITIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA BAJO EL TITULO AWIPS NFDHSFAT1 Y EL TITULO WMO FZNT01
KWBC.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BROWN

WWWW

EASTERN PACIFIC
—————

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU JUN 6 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
WWWW

CENTRAL PACIFIC
—————

ACPN50 PHFO 070555
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST THU JUN 6 2013

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

KINEL

WWWW

WESTERN PACIFIC
—————

ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJUN2013//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5N
130.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 129.6E, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM
NORTHWEST OF KOROR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH AN
EXTENSIVE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST. A 070121Z
METOP-A 89H IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LLCC WITH FRAGMENTED
CONVECTIVE BANDING AND NO DISCERNIBLE CENTER. A 070122Z ASCAT IMAGE
SHOWS AN ELONGATED, WEAK CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. A
07/00Z SHIP REPORT, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE
CENTER, INDICATES WINDS 240/07 KNOTS WITH SLP NEAR 1009 MB. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOTS
OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. DYNAMIC
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS
NORTH OF 20N (AFTER TAU 36) AND INTENSIFIES AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//


FXUS04 KWBC 062200
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
559 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013
FINAL DAY 1…DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 07/0000 UTC THRU JUN 10/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER…PRECIP ACCUM – 24HR
MADE GENERALLY ONLY MODEST CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF..BASED
AT LEAST IN PART ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY/TREND..WITH THE 18Z MODEL
RUNS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE 12Z RUNS AND LATEST NHC TRACK OF
ANDREA CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
DAY 1…
…EASTERN US…
ATLANTIC SEABOARD…
FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE BASED HEAVILY ON LATEST NHC TRACK
GUIDANCE…WHICH BRINGS TS ANDREA NEWD ACRS NERN FL AND ALONG THE
GA/SC COAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT…THEN INTO HAMPTON ROADS
AND THE LOWER VA EASTERN SHORE BY THE END OF DAY 1. ANDREA WILL
BECOME DRAWN INTO THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NEXT 24-36
HOURS…WHICH GIVEN THE BAROCLINIC BOOST WILL ALLOW FOR A FAIRLY
QUICK NORTHWARD EXTENSION OF HEAVIER RAINFALL UP ALONG THE ERN
SEABOARD. HAVE EXPANDED THE DAY ONE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK TO
INCLUDE THE ATLC SEABOARD UP THROUGH NY AND SRN NEW
ENGLAND…GIVEN THE HEAVIER FRONTOGENETIC-AIDED RAINFALL EXPECTED
TO PRECEDE ANDREA’S CENTER LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRI. AXIS OF
ANOMALOUS PW’S CONTINUES TO LIFT UP THE ERN SEABOARD THIS
AFTERNOON… AS VALUES UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALL THE WAY UP
INTO COASTAL PTNS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH DAY ONE. 30 HOUR
AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS BTWN 18Z TODAY AND 00Z SAT ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES FROM SERN GA/ERN SC INTO SRN NC…WITH
2-3+ INCHES INTO THE DELMARVA AND NJ. HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
ANTICIPATED FARTHER N DURING DAY 2 (BEGINNING AT 00Z SAT).
APPALACHIANS…
THE AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM TROUGH…PER EVOLVING “S” SIGNATURE
NOTED ON LATEST IR/WV STLT…WILL COMBINE WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK OVER QUEBEC TO ENHANCE THE
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ACROSS THE MID ATLC TO THE NORTHEAST WELL
AHEAD OF ANDREA. THIS WILL HELP DRAW IN THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT WELL N AND W OF ANDREA’S TRACK…AND AS SUCH WILL LEAD
TO A SECOND MAXIMA OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE ELEVATED TERRAIN FROM
THE WRN CAROLINAS NE THROUGH WRN VA/ERN WV…WRN PA…AND WRN NY.
WPC NOTED AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS IN THE 1-2 INCH RANGE IN 24 HOURS
OVER THESE AREAS…WITH THE SETUP CONDUCIVE TO LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THESE AMOUNTS COULD LEAD TO LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES GIVEN
THE LOWER FFG OVER THE MOUNTAINS.
…LOWER MS VLY…
THE COMBINATION OF A LINGERING MCV ALONG WITH THE BROADER-SCALE
HEIGHT FALLS WILL ALLOW FOR MOD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM ERN
TX THROUGH LA AND SRN MS. HIGHEST AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS…1 TO 1.5
INCHES…ARE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA…MAINLY CLOSER TO THE COAST
(SOUTH OF THE CURRENT SFC FRONTAL BNDRY) WHERE THE BEST INSTBY AND
LLVL INFLOW/MSTR CONVERGENCE EXISTS.
DAYS 2/3…
…EASTERN STATES/ANDREA…
THE 12Z GUIDANCE…WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NAM…CLUSTERS FAIRLY
WELL AT THE SURFACE WITH THE LATEST OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FOR ANDREA.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS AGREEMENT WITHIN THE MODEL THE PMSL FIELDS DID
NOT TRANSLATE OVER TO THEIR QPFS. THE GFS WAS A PARTICULAR
OUTLIER ON DAY 2 AS IT APPEARS TO SUFFER FROM GRIDSCALE FEEDBACK
PROBLEMS EARLY ON AND THEREFORE DISCOUNTED ITS VERY HEAVY AMOUNTS
SOUTHWEST OF ANDREA OVER EASTERN VA. THE GFS IS ALSO ALONE AND
WAS NOT FOLLOWED WITH THE HEAVY AMOUNTS IT GENERATES FROM THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST ON DAY 2.
THE GFS IS THE ONLY MODEL TO STRENGTHEN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ITS SURFACE REFLECTION AS ITS LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE LOWER
MS VALLEY ON FRI…MOVING QUICKLY ON THE HEELS OF ANDREA THROUGH
THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST. THAT SAID…A BLEND OF THE UKMET
WITH 00/12Z ECMWF WAS GENERALLY FOLLOWED WITH RESPECT TO ANDREA
AND THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM WAVE. EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
PROGRESSIVE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND
AN UPSTREAM TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA/GREAT LAKES…ANDREA
IS FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY FROM THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES PROVINCES ON DAY 2. BUT BEFORE
EXITING OFF TO THE EAST…ANDREA CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A
SWATH OF HEAVY AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 1-3 INCHES FROM THE JERSEY
SHORE TO DOWNEAST MAINE. WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER…MOISTURE AND
ENERGY EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOURAGE LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS FL. REFER TO NHC GUIDANCE
FOR THE LATEST INFO REGARDING ANDREA.
…PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY…
STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE/UPPER JET
DIGGING THROUGH THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS FRI NIGHT/SAT MORNING IS
FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH DEEPER MOISTURE ALONG A STRONG SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL JET TO ENCOURAGE THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION PRODUCING
LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIGGING DOWNSTREAM
OF A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST…CLOSING OFF A MID
LEVEL CENTER NEAR THE MID MS/MS VALLEYS ON SUN. STRONG MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF AN AMPLIFYING SFC/LOW LEVEL WAVE ALONG WITH
THE UPPER FORCING IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
CONVECTION PRODUCING HEAVY AMOUNTS CENTERED OVER THE MID MO/MS
VALLEY SAT EVENING. SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
AMOUNTS IS ALSO POSSIBLE FURTHER TO THE SOUTH ALONG A TRAILING
COLD FRONT EXTENDING BACK INTO OK. TO ADDRESS WHAT BECOMES A
RATHER SIGNIFICANT MODEL SPREAD BY THE END OF THE PERIOD…THE WPC
FORECAST FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE GFS/UKMET/00Z ECMWF THROUGH MUCH
OF THE PERIOD…DISCOUNTING THE NAM/12Z ECMWF WHICH FELL ON THE
LEAST/MOST AMPLIFIED SIDES OF THE GUIDANCE RESPECTIVELY.
HURLEY/TERRY/PEREIRA
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
24HR QP VT 08/00Z

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Wednesday, June 5, 2013 at 5 PM HST
(Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 23)
Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with
maximum sustained winds of 105 mph (90 kts), moving west-northwest at 21 mph. The estimated
minimum central pressure is 975 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the storm
center.
Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning as illustrated in the map below. The geographic
extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report.

Click to view storm summary

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(Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 22)

Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 3 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph (100 kts), moving west-northwest at 15 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 190 miles (305 km) from the storm center. Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning as illustrated in the map below. The geographic extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report.

Click on image for Hurricane Makani #22 forecast

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(Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 21)Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 3 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (110 kts), moving west-northwest at 9 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the storm center. Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning as illustrated in the map below. The geographic extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report.

Click on image to view storm summary for Makani #21

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Tuesday, June 4, 2013 at 11 PM HST (Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 20)Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 3 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (110 kts), moving west-northwest at 12 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the storm center. Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning as illustrated in the map below. The geographic extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report. Exercise.. Exercise..

Click image for storm summary June 4, 11:00PM HST

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(Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 19)

Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 3 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (110 kts), moving west-northwest at 12 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the storm center. Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning. The geographic extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report.

Click image for Hurricane Makani Tuesday, June 4, 2013 at 5 PM HST

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Click on image to read Hurricane Makani #18 3:00PM projection

The post Hurricane Makani2013 #18 June 3, 3:00PM Projection appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

Hurricane Makani is currently a Category 4 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (115 kts), moving west-northwest at 14 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the storm center.

Certain coastal locations are under Hurricane Warning as illustrated in the map below. The geographic extents of these watches and warnings are detailed in the advisory text at the end of this report.

Click this image to view Hurricane Makani 2013 #17 storm summary

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Storm Summary for Hurricane Makani2013

Monday, June 3, 2013 at 11 PM HST

(Output from Hurrevac, based on Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory # 16)

Hurricane Makani2013 is currently a Category 3 major hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (110 kts), moving west-northwest at 14 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the storm center. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 215 miles (345 km) from the storm center.

Click on image for storm summary Hurricane Makani 2013-06-03 11 PM

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Click on the Image to view the forecast data for the Makani #15 Exercise.. Exercise.. Exercise..

Exercise.. Exercise.. click on image to view Makani #15 Forecast

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Click this image to view the PDF Storm Summary for Monday June 3, 2013 Exercise.. Exercise..

The post Storm Summary Hurricane Makani 2013 #14 Forecast Exercise appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

Doctors are “pulling ball bearings out of people in the emergency room,” suggesting that the bombs were designed to propel shrapnel, a terrorism expert briefed on the investigation told CNN’s Deborah Feyerick.

As news of the reported explosions in Boston continues to unfold, many online are criticising the rush to circulate graphic images on both social and mainstream media.

A person who spoke on condition of anonymity because the investigation was still going on said the explosives were put in 6-liter kitchen pressure cookers, hidden in black duffel bags and left on the ground. They were packed with shrapnel, the person said.

The person said law enforcement officials have some of the bomb components but do not yet know what was used to set off the explosives.

Earlier, a doctor treating the wounded appeared to corroborate the person’s account, saying one of the victims was maimed by what looked like ball bearings or BBs.

“We’ve removed BBs and we’ve removed nails from kids. One of the sickest things for me was just to see nails sticking out of a little girl’s body,” said Dr. David Mooney, director of the trauma center at Boston Children’s Hospital.

Two children remain in critical condition at the hospital with serious leg injuries. Mooney said that tourniquets applied by emergency responders at the race saved the children’s lives.

• Two killed – including 8-year-old boy – in bomb blasts near finish line of Boston Marathon, Boston police say. Area hospitals say at least 132 are injured, including eight children.
• Two explosions happened at about 2:50 p.m., more than two hours after the first of the race’s nearly 27,000 runners had crossed the finish line.
• Boston.com journalist reports “blood everywhere,” people missing limbs.
• Race called off; Red Cross and Google set up websites to help people find loved ones in the area
• Check back here for updates; full story here; also, see CNN affiliates WBZ;WCVB; WHDH

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Earthquake Map

Formidable Footprint certificate of completion Earthquake 03302013 Paul G. Hugel

The post Formidable Footprint – A Neighborhood Tabletop Exercise – Earthquake 03302013 appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

Seamless sharing, faster connection

Once running, the software will then automatically look for other Open Garden users. If you have already a data connection, because you’re at a Starbucks or using your 3G/4G smartphone, it’ll automatically get shared with others, although your data gets priority.

Your connection speed could also get faster as Open Garden will ‘bond’ available bandwidth from nearby community members and make it available to you.

Seamless connectivity allows people to connect any supported device to the mesh and thus to the Internet with no effort or configuration. Install, done. No buttons, no pairing, no manual discoverability. Open Garden can use different physical ways to connect in general; today’s version concentrates on Bluetooth. Bluetooth normally requires to manually put one of the devices into discoverable state, which only lasts a few minutes. We eliminated the need for this, saving battery, improving privacy, and, most importantly, allowing devices to connect with no user intervention.

Version 2.0 brings multi-path access. Normally today, you access the Internet using only one path. For example, when your phone gets on Wi-Fi, it no longer uses its 4G connection; if you are in an area with multiple Wi-Fi hotspots, you only use one. We are introducing a way to access the Internet over multiple paths at once, improving speed and reliability, and also eliminating configuration choices: you will no longer need to pick how you connect, since you will simply use multiple ways.

Once connected, devices find a path to the Internet also completely automatically. If a path fails, a new one will be chosen; if necessary, new connections will be established. The network is self-healing and self-forming. Each of the nodes operates only with local knowledge; together, they build a network using a probabilistic distributed algorithm.

When there is no direct Internet connection, devices will access the Internet through chains of other devices. Again, if necessary, chains will grow to reach the Internet.

Learn more at opengarden.com

OpenGarden (OpenGarden) on Twitter

forbes.com

youtube.com

open garden

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The International Day of Happiness is celebrated throughout the world on 20 March. It was established by the United Nations General Assembly on 28 June 2012. Assembly Resolution A/RES/66/281 states in pertinent part:

The General Assembly,[…] Conscious that the pursuit of happiness is a fundamental human goal,[…] Recognizing also the need for a more inclusive, equitable and balanced approach to economic growth that promotes sustainable development, poverty eradication, happiness and the well-being of all peoples, Decides to proclaim 20 March the International Day of Happiness, Invites all Member States, organizations of the United Nations system and other international and regional organizations, as well as civil society, including non-governmental organizations and individuals, to observe the International Day of Happiness in an appropriate manner, including through education and public awareness-raising activities

Celebrations

• Happiness 1st Institute vows to celebrate International Happiness Day by providing free seminars with tips and tools to increase happiness and awareness of the benefits of happiness each year. Happiness 1st Institute and the International Society of Happiness Professionals challenge other happiness professionals to provide free happiness increasing and awareness information on International Happiness Day in the spirit of greater happiness for all the worlds people.^[2]

• Happy Newcomer Inc. in association with The Bolivian Centre for Research in Positive Psychology have organized a campaign for the International Day of happiness by developing a web portal where people can share events and activities planned for this day.^[3]

• Happiness International

  is encouraging people to make a Happiness Day Resolution by choosing one action supporting their happiness to continue developing over the coming year. To help people select the best action to match their needs for happiness, they are offering free access to their science-based online Happiness Planner™.^[4]

• Day of Happiness

  has organized their ACT campaign asking people to do three things on the International Day of Happiness: Accept the pledge, Cheer happy heroes, and Take part on the day.^[5]

UN Resolution document

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Maui Civil Defense announced that there are no road closures Upcountry at this time according to Maui police. The roads are still wet and slick so please use caution when driving.

Also the Department of Education has announced no school closures. At this the the Red Cross emergency shelter at Hannibal Tavares Community Center is closed and residents have returned to their homes.

In the meantime please be aware that a FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND…

AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS…TOGETHER WITH WATER VAPOR STREAMING FROM
THE EAST…WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HEAVY SHOWERS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO MAINLY WINDWARD SLOPES OF MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* STREAMING HEAVY SHOWERS WILL RAISE A HIGH RISK OF FLOODING
MAINLY ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES…WHILE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
WILL THREATEN FLOODING ALONG LEE SLOPES.

* AVOID CAMPING OR HIKING NEAR STREAMS AND LOW-LYING FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS VERY DANGEROUS. REMEMBER
THAT IT DOES NOT HAVE TO BE RAINING HEAVILY WHERE YOU ARE FOR A
FLASH FLOOD TO REACH YOU.

MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE
ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

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Maui Flash Flood Warning 02212013

February 21, 2013 9:17 PM

Flood Notification 07 – FLASH FLOOD WARNING

EVENT: The National Weather Service in Honolulu has extended the FLASH FLOOD WARNING for the Island of MAUI, now in effect until 12:00 p.m. This Warning may need to be extended beyond 12:00 p.m. if flash flooding persists.

EFFECTS: At 8:42 p.m. radar continued to show heavy showers along the windward slopes of Haleakala. Some roads, such as Makawao Avenue, Kee Avenue and Brewer Road, remain closed due to earlier heavy rains.

Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Pukalani, Pauwela, Paia, Nahiku, Makawao, Haliimaile and Haiku.

A Flash Flood Watch is also in effect for the Island of Maui through Friday night.

PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES: A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING IN STREAMS, ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW, DO NOT CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE OR ON FOOT. TURN AROUND DON’T DROWN.

INFORMATION: Maui County Civil Defense will continue to monitor the situation. Please listen to your local radio and TV stations or NOAA Weather Radio for any updates. NOAA Weather Radio broadcasts can be reached by calling 1-866-944-5025. The NOAA Weather internet services can be found at www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl.

Pre-recorded advisories and notifications are available 24-hours a day on the Maui County Automated Information System (AIS) by calling 986-1200.

-End-

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Huffington Post Reports: MOSCOW — With a blinding flash and a booming shock wave, a meteor blazed across the western Siberian sky Friday and exploded with the force of 20 atomic bombs, injuring more than 1,000 people as it blasted out windows and spread panic in a city of 1 million.

While NASA estimated the meteor was only about the size of a bus and weighed an estimated 7,000 tons, the fireball it produced was dramatic. Video shot by startled residents of the city of Chelyabinsk showed its streaming contrails as it arced toward the horizon just after sunrise, looking like something from a world-ending science-fiction movie.

The largest recorded meteor strike in more than a century occurred hours before a 150-foot asteroid passed within about 17,000 miles (28,000 kilometers) of Earth. The European Space Agency said its experts had determined there was no connection between the asteroid and the Russian meteor – just cosmic coincidence.

The meteor above western Siberia entered the Earth’s atmosphere about 9:20 a.m. local time (10:20 p.m. EST Thursday) at a hypersonic speed of at least 33,000 mph (54,000 kph) and shattered into pieces about 30-50 kilometers (18 to 32 miles) high, the Russian Academy of Sciences said. NASA estimated its speed at about 40,000 mph, said it exploded about 12 to 15 miles high, released 300 to 500 kilotons of energy and left a trail 300 miles long.

“There was panic. People had no idea what was happening,” said Sergey Hametov of Chelyabinsk, about 1,500 kilometers (930 miles) east of Moscow in the Ural Mountains.

“We saw a big burst of light, then went outside to see what it was and we heard a really loud, thundering sound,” he told The Associated Press by telephone.

The shock wave blew in an estimated 100,000 square meters (more than 1 million square feet) of glass, according to city officials, who said 3,000 buildings in Chelyabinsk were damaged. At a zinc factory, part of the roof collapsed.

The Interior Ministry said about 1,100 people sought medical care after the shock wave and 48 were hospitalized. Most of the injuries were caused by flying glass, officials said.

Scientists estimated the meteor unleashed a force 20 times more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb, although the space rock exploded at a much higher altitude. Amy Mainzer, a scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said the atmosphere acted as a shield.

The shock wave may have shattered windows, but “the atmosphere absorbed the vast majority of that energy,” she said.

Emergency Situations Ministry spokesman Vladimir Purgin said many of the injured were cut as they flocked to windows to see what caused the intense flash of light, which momentarily was brighter than the sun.

There was no immediate word on any deaths or anyone struck by space fragments.

President Vladimir Putin summoned the nation’s emergencies minister and ordered immediate repairs. “We need to think how to help the people and do it immediately,” he said.

Some meteorite fragments fell in a reservoir outside the town of Chebarkul, the regional Interior Ministry office said. The crash left an eight-meter (26-foot) crater in the ice.

Lessons had just started at Chelyabinsk schools when the meteor exploded, and officials said 258 children were among those injured. Amateur video showed a teacher speaking to her class as a powerful shock wave hit the room.

Yekaterina Melikhova, a high school student whose nose was bloody and whose upper lip was covered with a bandage, said she was in her geography class when a bright light flashed outside.

“After the flash, nothing happened for about three minutes. Then we rushed outdoors. … The door was made of glass, a shock wave made it hit us,” she said.

Russian television ran video of athletes at a city sports arena who were showered by shards of glass from huge windows. Some of them were still bleeding.

Other videos showed a long shard of glass slamming into the floor close to a factory worker and massive doors blown away by the shock wave.

Meteors typically cause sizeable sonic booms when they enter the atmosphere because they are traveling so much faster than the speed of sound. Injuries on the scale reported Friday, however, are extraordinarily rare.

“I went to see what that flash in the sky was about,” recalled resident Marat Lobkovsky. “And then the window glass shattered, bouncing back on me. My beard was cut open, but not deep. They patched me up. It’s OK now.”

Another resident, Valya Kazakov, said some elderly women in his neighborhood started crying out that the world was ending.

The many broken windows exposed residents to the bitter cold as temperatures in the city were expected to plummet to minus 20 Celsius (minus 4 Fahrenheit) overnight. The regional governor put out a call for any workers who knew how to repair windows.

Russian-language hashtags for the meteorite quickly shot up into Twitter’s top trends.

“Jeez, I just woke up because my bed started shaking! The whole house is moving!” tweeted Alisa Malkova.

Social media was flooded with video from the many dashboard cameras that Russians mount in their cars, in case of pressure from corrupt traffic police or a dispute after an accident.

The dramatic event prompted an array of reactions from prominent Russians.

Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, speaking at an economic forum in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, said the meteor could be a symbol for the forum, showing that “not only the economy is vulnerable, but the whole planet.”

Vladimir Zhirinovsky, a nationalist leader noted for his vehement statements, blamed the Americans.

“It’s not meteors falling. It’s the test of a new weapon by the Americans,” the RIA Novosti news agency quoted him as saying.

Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin said the incident showed the need for leading world powers to develop a system to intercept objects falling from space.

“At the moment, neither we nor the Americans have such technologies” to shoot down meteors or asteroids, he said, according to the Interfax news agency.

Meteoroids are small pieces of space debris – usually parts of comets or asteroids – that are on a collision course with the Earth. They become meteors when they enter the Earth’s atmosphere. Most meteors burn up in the atmosphere, but if they survive the frictional heating and strike the surface of the Earth they are called meteorites.

NASA said the Russian fireball was the largest reported since 1908, when a meteor hit Tunguska, Siberia, and flattened an estimated 80 million trees. Chelyabinsk is about 5,000 kilometers (3,000 miles) west of Tunguska. The Tunguska blast, attributed to a comet or asteroid fragment, is generally estimated to have been about 10 megatons.

Scientists believe that a far larger meteorite strike on what today is Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula may have been responsible for the extinction of the dinosaurs about 66 million years ago. According to that theory, the impact would have thrown up vast amounts of dust that blanketed the sky for decades and altered the climate on Earth.

The object hailed from the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter, becoming a meteor as it streaked through the earth’s atmosphere, Bill Cooke, head of the Meteoroid Environments Office at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama, said.

Paul Chodas, research scientist at the Near Earth Object Program Office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said that ground telescopes would have needed to point in the right direction at the right time to spot Friday’s incoming meteor.

“It would be very faint and difficult to detect, not impossible, but difficult,” Chodas said.

The 150-foot space rock that safely hurtled past Earth at 2:25 p.m. EST Friday was dubbed Asteroid 2012 DA14 and was discovered a year ago. It came closer than many communication and weather satellites that orbit 22,300 miles up.

The asteroid was invisible to astronomers in the United States at the time of its closest approach on the opposite of the world. But in Australia, astronomers used binoculars and telescopes to watch the point of light speed across the clear night sky.

Jim Green, NASA’s director of planetary science, called the back-to-back celestial events an amazing display.

“This is indeed very rare and it is historic,” he said on NASA TV. “These fireballs happen about once a day or so, but we just don’t see them because many of them fall over the ocean or in remote areas. ”

Experts said the Russian meteor could have produced much more serious problems in the area hosting nuclear and chemical weapons disposal facilities.

Vladimir Chuprov of Greenpeace Russia noted that the meteor struck only 100 kilometers (60 miles) from the Mayak nuclear storage and disposal facility, which holds dozens of tons of weapons-grade plutonium.

The panic and confusion that followed the meteor quickly gave way to typical Russian black humor and entrepreneurial instincts. Several people smashed in the windows of their houses in the hopes of receiving compensation, the RIA Novosti news agency reported.

Others quickly took to the Internet and put what they said were meteorite fragments up for sale.

One of the most popular jokes was that the meteorite was supposed to fall on Dec. 21, 2012 – when many believed the Mayan calendar predicted the end of the world – but was delivered late by Russia’s notoriously inefficient postal service.

The post Near-Earth Asteroid DA14 appeared first on NKO.ORG Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program.

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The following is the lecture/presentation  Dale Bonar gave for The Maui Venture Forum at Maui Tropical Plantation January 31, 2013.

This video segment does not include  the followup question and answer period following his presentation but hope an edited version may be available in the future.

This is an fairly unedited version shot on an iPhone 5 output at 720P resolution  vimeo.com 

Affordable Farming Land Trust Concept – Dale Bonar from paul hugel on Vimeo.

Also available in 720P resolution on youtube

Dale Bonar

Dale Bonar has been Executive Director for Hawaiian Islands Land Trust  from May 2002 – September 2012

Preserving and protecting significant conservation lands of Hawaii for the benefit of the natural environment and of current and future generations.

Dale is a Consultant at Solid Ground Consulting September 2012 – Present 

Dale received his PhD, Zoology, Marine Science at University of Hawaii at Manoa

Dale has been a Member  of Maui Conservation Alliance 2007 – 2012 (5 years)

Dale served as Assistant, Associate Professor at The University of Maryland, College Park from 1974 – 1992 (18 years)

Professor in the Department of Zoology and Research Professor in the Center of Marine Biotechnology. Research focused on cellular and molecular biology of invertebrate development

HONORS & AWARDS

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I am writing to voice my support for the renewable electricity standard that makes our state a leader in the nation’s growing clean energy economy.

Currently, we are one of 29 states that choose to require utilities obtain a percentage of their electricity from renewable sources, such as the wind and sun.

Studies show these smart energy policies are an effective and affordable way to downsize our reliance on imported fossil fuels, while keeping hard earned energy dollars local to create jobs and reducing pollution to protect the environment and public health.

I encourage you to support this policy that promotes the use of homegrown renewable energy, for the benefit of our state’s residents today and the prosperity of future generations.

Since 1992 I have worked to establish Maui as the environmental sciences center of the world lets not go backwards

Stop Special Interests from Repealing Renewable Energy in Hawaii

Dear Friends,

Currently, Hawaii is one of 29 states leading the transition to a clean energy economy by requiring utilities to obtain a certain percentage of their electricity from renewable sources, such as the sun and wind. But these highly effective clean energy policies, known as renewable electricity standards, are now threatened by the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), a Washington, DC-based special interest group funded by big polluters, including ExxonMobil and the Koch brothers.

Take action today to let politicians in your state know that you support renewable energy, not the agenda of out-of-state fossil fuel interests.

More than 20 comprehensive studies over the past decade have found that renewable electricity standards are an effective and affordable way to downsize our reliance on coal-burning power plants, the top source of carbon emissions that are the primary cause of global warming.

For years, ALEC has misled politicians by denying the role carbon emitted by human activities plays in warming our planet. Now, the legislation ALEC is pushing to repeal renewable electricity standards has been exposed as the handy work of the Heartland Institute, the same group behind last year’s offensive billboard campaign comparing those who accept the scientific consensus on global warming to “Unabomber” Ted Kaczynski.

The good news is that ALEC’s war on science is backfiring. Dozens of corporations, including Coca-Cola and Wal-Mart, have stopped funding this special interest group in response to the concerns of thousands of informed citizens like you.

As politicians gear up for the 2013 legislative season, do your part to defend renewable energy today.

Together, we can make sure Hawaii remains a clean energy leader and send ALEC packing.

Governor Abercrombie Web Contact Form

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Now just to clarify I am referring to the Humpback Whale traffic in some cases as close as 500 meters from shoreline.

There has been a high surf warning for north facing shores today and the public lifeguards at Makena’s Big beach were broadcasting warnings over the megaphone to novice boogy boarders and tourists unaware of the power of the shoreline break today.

The photo enclosed was shot on a different day from the ridge overlooking south towards Maui’s Makena. (Big Beach)

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certificate from today’s exercise

Early this morning I was picked up in a shiny blue all terrain vehicle and was brought to the County of Maui Civil Defense Emergency Operations Center (EOC).

A small group assembled from Maui Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) to participate in an online disaster preparedness exercise codenamed Formidable Footprint – A Neighborhood Tabletop Exercise- Wildfire.

The exercise scenario took place in a small simulated community of about 270 houses and less than 2,000 residents surrounded by farmland in which a raging fire traveling at about 17mph from the west headed towards the community.

There were numerous challenges in which we had x number of minutes to move through specific sections of the exercise. It started off with an introduction of the community with an interactive map displaying infrastructure such as houses, schools, gas stations, etc. There were a number of elements one had to absorb and apply towards directed action in a timely manner taking into consideration potential hazards and different threat levels.

The Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) Program educates people about disaster preparedness for hazards that may impact their area and trains them in basic disaster response skills, such as fire safety, light search and rescue, team organization, and disaster medical operations. Using the training learned in the classroom and during exercises, CERT members can assist others in their neighborhood or workplace following an event when professional responders are not immediately available to help. CERT members also are encouraged to support emergency response agencies by taking a more active role in emergency preparedness projects in their community.

To learn more about CERT and and search for your local chapter please visit CERT

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Opening Pule Kihei 4th Friday December 28, 2012  Hawaiian blessing and invocation by Cultural Advisor, Kimokeo Kapahulehua

Kihei Fourth Friday of every month, from 6pm till 9pm in Kihei, Hawaii. December 28, 2012 was the first event

At this event there were tons of venders selling crafts and lots of great food including vegetarian tofu, eggplant with rice from Hawaiian Moons Health Food Store. I must have waited in line for 30 minutes to sample some fresh squeezed lemon aid well worth the wait.

This event hosted at Azeka Mall parking lot extending outward into Piikea Street included numerous musical acts  presented on a well light stage as well as art and movement performances  by both adult and children.

December 28th marked the inaugural event for Kihei Fourth Friday Town Parties. The party took place from 6 to 9 p.m. at Azeka Shopping Center – Mauka, the “heart and soul” of Kihei. Following in the success of the other Maui Friday Town Parties, the first event held in Kihei Town was festive, with lots of food, art, crafts, Hawaiian activities and plenty of great shopping deals to be found. Other highlights  included a Keiki/Youth Zone and top name entertainment. Headlining at the main stage was indie rock group Erin Smith & The Throwdowns, performing many of their hits including their debut single “Kihei Town.”

Opening Ceremony:

• 6 p.m. – Hawaiian blessing and invocation by Cultural Advisor, Kimokeo Kapahulehua

Entertainment

• 6:20 p.m. – The House Shakers, featuring Lenny Castellanos from Mick Fleetwood’s Blues Band
• 7:20 p.m. – Hula dancers
• 8 p.m. – Erin Smith and The Throwdowns

Activities  

• The Keiki/Youth Zone provides a place for family-friendly activities and arts & crafts for children and teens. Hawaiian cultural crafts, lei making, language and educational activities were featured.

Food

• There was a large food court area with many local taste treats! In addition, Azeka Shopping Center Mauka had a variety of eateries: Coconuts Fish Café, Diamonds Ice Bar & Grill, Java Café, Jawz Fish Tacos Island Style Grill, Panda Express, Peggy Sue’s, and Stella Blues Café.

Watch on youtube.com or on vimeo.com or Facebook page or Official website

Kihei 4TH Friday Dec 28, 2012

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The paulhugel daily is based on Internet tweets of news and information from leading environmental and technology sources I follow.

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Gene Sharp Right Livelihood Award Speech

“for developing and articulating the core principles and strategies of nonviolent resistance and supporting their practical implementation in conflict areas around the world.”

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This years Maui Chanukah Festival of the Lights 2012 took place December 12, 2012 featuring friends and family members of The Jewish Congregation of Maui was led by Rabbi David Glickman at Beit Shalom Synagogue located in Kihei, Maui, Hawaii.

Chanukah, also known as the Festival of Lights, is an eight-day Jewish holiday commemorating the rededication of the Holy Temple (the Second Temple) in Jerusalem at the time of the Maccabean Revolt of the 2nd century BCE. Chanukah is observed for eight nights and days, starting on the 25th day of Kislev according to the Hebrew calendar, which may occur at any time from late November to late December in the Gregorian calendar.
The festival is observed by the kindling of the lights of a unique candelabrum, the nine-branched Menorah or Chanukiah, one additional light on each night of the holiday, progressing to eight on the final night. The typical Menorah consists of eight branches with an additional raised branch. The extra light is called a shamash (Hebrew: שמש, “attendant”)and is given a distinct location, usually above or below the rest. The purpose of the shamash is to have a light available for use, as using the Chanukah lights themselves is forbidden.

mauijews.org

youtube.com

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A new NASA study finds that global sea level, which dipped sharply in 2010-11 due to a strong La Nina event, has recovered and resumed its long-term upward climb. Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/CNES

What Goes Down Goes Down Must Come Up

For most of the past two decades, the NASA and European Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1 and Jason-2 satellites have tracked the gradual rise of the world’s ocean in response to global warming. In August 2011, scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif., and the University of Colorado in Boulder reported that global sea level rise had hit a speed bump (see “NASA Satellites Detect Pothole on Road to Higher Seas“).

The researchers found that between early 2010 and summer 2011, global sea level fell sharply, by about a quarter of an inch, or half a centimeter. Using data from the NASA/German Aerospace Center’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) spacecraft, they showed that the drop was caused by the very strong La Nina that began in late 2010. This periodic Pacific Ocean climate phenomenon changed rainfall patterns all over our planet, moving huge amounts of Earth’s water from the ocean to the continents, primarily to Australia, northern South America and Southeast Asia.

Now, a new paper published recently in the journal Geophysical Research Letters documents the effects of the 2010-11 La Nina on global sea level and updates the measurements. The result: as predicted, by mid-2012, global mean sea level had not only recovered from the more than 0.2 inches (5 millimeters) it dropped in 2010-11, but had resumed its long-term mean annual rise of 0.13 inches (3.2 millimeters) per year. Results of the new study are presented graphically at:http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/pia16294.html .

“The water the ocean ‘lost’ was compensated for rather quickly,” said lead study author Carmen Boening of JPL. “The newest data clearly indicate that the drop in 2010-11 was only temporary.”

JPL co-author Josh Willis added that, like clockwork, the long-term rise of the ocean marches on. “The dip in global sea levels, brought to us courtesy of a major La Nina event, was little more than a pothole in the long road toward a rising ocean and shrinking coastlines,” he said.

“In 2011, we detected a lot of water that was temporarily stored over land, causing severe flooding in some regions,” said JPL co-author Felix Landerer. “In 2012, we have seen much of this water find its way back into the ocean.”

For more information on NASA’s satellite altimetry missions, visit: http://sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov/ . For more on GRACE, visit:http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace/ .

NASA Global Sea Levels

Nasa Link

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At Strata RX 2012, we (NotOnly Dev) released a teaming (i.e. referral) graph — a project that details the connections between doctors, hospitals and other healthcare organizations in the US. This data set shows most of the connections between doctors, including referrals to specialist and what lab providers and hospitals they prefer to work with. It displays real names and and will eventually show every city.

With this crowdfunding, we plan on increasing the amount of data that we will release by an order of magnitude. We are calling this new, larger data set “DocGraph”.

This is a valuable data set for academics, scientists, or health policy junkies because it can be merged with other research data.

Our goal is to empower the patient, make the system transparent and accountable, and release this data to the people who can use it to revitalize our health system.

NotOnly Dev is a Health IT software incubator company formed by Fred Trotter, Rick Trotter and Ashish Patel. We are a “not-only-for-profit” company. Of course, we are still a for-profit endeavor, but we have a very specific social mission: To use software and data to empower patients. On some projects, we make money. On others our goal is to make patient’s lives better. Most of the time, we can find ways to do a little of both at the same time. You are welcome to hire us for your healthcare software development project. We encourage that.

Twitter: @fredtrotter
For more crazy ideas: Patient Skunkworks Projects

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iMessage -Facetime Down

For about an hour today I tried debugging problems with iMessage and FaceTime   on both iPhone 5 and MacBook Pro which were not working for me.

Console log snippet:

11/18/12 11:30:25.774 AM com.apple.SecurityServer[15]: Session 100026 created
11/18/12 11:30:26.090 AM FaceTime[2515]: [Warning] TRUST validation failed with result 5
11/18/12 11:30:26.090 AM FaceTime[2515]: [Warning] FTFaceTimeServerBag: URL bag data invalid (not valid)
11/18/12 11:31:29.791 AM FaceTime[2515]: [Warning] Found no VC chat to cancel for conference: 0D938560EE7DB80F6559E0DDAFB8CAB7A824577F1D1E3F8A with buddy: usernameremoved at gmail dot com
11/18/12 11:33:00.662 AM com.apple.launchd[1]: (com.apple.coremedia.videodecoder[2523]) Exit timeout elapsed (20 seconds). Killing

iMessage and Facetime are both experiencing outages according to Apple’s iCloud system status page. I called Apple tech support and was told the servers that manage iMessage and FaceTime are having a problem  instructed to try again Monday.

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The Solar eclipse has ended, please enjoy the archived movies and images.

Port Douglas Australia Solar 1 Recording Highlight

Fiztroy Island Australia Solar 2 Recording Highlight

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TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 10

NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER

EWA BEACH HI 101 AM HST SUN OCT 28 2012

TO – CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII SUBJECT – TSUNAMI ADVISORY THE TSUNAMI WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII.

A TSUNAMI ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII EFFECTIVE AT 1254 AM HST.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME – 0504 PM HST 27 OCT 2012 COORDINATES – 52.8 NORTH 131.8 WEST LOCATION – QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION MAGNITUDE – 7.7 MOMENT

EVALUATION BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA THE TSUNAMI THREAT HAS DECREASED AND IS NOW AT THE ADVISORY LEVEL AND NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE.

SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG CURRENTS MAY STILL OCCUR ALONG ALL COASTS THAT COULD BE A HAZARD TO SWIMMERS AND BOATERS AS WELL AS TO PERSONS NEAR THE SHORE AT BEACHES AND IN HARBORS AND MARINAS.

THE THREAT MAY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center

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This time-lapse animation shows Hurricane Sandy from the vantage point of geostationary orbit—35,800 km (22,300 miles) above the Earth. The image above shows Sandy on October 26, 2012, at 5:00 p.m. EDT, when light from the setting sun highlighted the structure of the clouds. At the time, maximum sustained winds were 75 miles per hour (120 kilometers per hour) according to the National Hurricane Center. The images were collected by NOAA’s GOES-14 satellite. The “super rapid scan” images—one every minute from 7:15 a.m. until 6:30 p.m. EDT—reveal details of the storm’s motion.

NASA animation by Robert Simmon, using images from NOAA and the University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies.

Source Youtube

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Source Youtube

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Time Machine broken after 10.7.5 update MacRumors Forums

I was attempting to backup today my 2011 MacBookPro internal ssd and the backup was unbelievably slow using usb 3 connection to the point that I aborted, gave up, reformatted my Time Machine drive and started looking around for solutions. Came across a thread on MacRumors Forums:  Time Machine broken after 10.7.5 update MacRumors Forums

Thank God because my 100GB backup estimated time went from 24 hours to 36 minutes after following what dmax35 said

It’s a known spotlight issue. https://discussions.apple.com/message/19667005#19667005

http://osxdaily.com/2011/12/10/disab…mac-os-x-lion/

If you disable Spotlight using the following command from within Terminal, Time Machine backups return to normal speed;

sudo launchctl unload -w /System/Library/LaunchDaemons/com.apple.metadata.mds.plist

Once this has been resolved, you’ll be able to re-enable Spotlight with the following command;

sudo launchctl load -w /System/Library/LaunchDaemons/com.apple.metadata.mds.plist

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