Tropical Storm Blas Advisory 29

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Tropical-Storm-Blas-Advisory-29
Tropical-Storm-Blas-Advisory-29

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 100232
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016

…BLAS WEAKENING FAST OVER COLD WATERS…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…21.2N 134.5W
ABOUT 1335 MI…2150 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blas was
located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 134.5 West. Blas is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Blas is forecast to become a remnant low on
Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 100233
TCDEP3

TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016

The cloud pattern has degraded significantly tonight, and the
deep convection has practically vanished. However, given the
vigorous circulation still associated with Blas, it is estimated
that the winds are 35 kt. Due to cold waters and high shear, global
models and the intensity guidance weaken the cyclone fast. On this
basis, the NHC forecast calls for Blas to degenerate into a remnant
low in 24 hours or less.

Blas’ circulation is moving toward the west or 280 degrees at 10
kt. Now that the cyclone is quickly becoming a shallow system, it is
forecast to be steered westward or west-southwestward by the
low-level flow until dissipation in a couple of days. Blas could
still produce sporadic bursts of convection in the next day or two.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/0300Z 21.2N 134.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
12H  10/1200Z 21.5N 136.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
24H  11/0000Z 21.5N 138.1W   25 KT  30 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H  11/1200Z 21.0N 140.5W   20 KT  25 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H  12/0000Z 20.5N 142.5W   20 KT  25 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H  13/0000Z…DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

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In 1995 At Maui High Performance Computing Center The Maui Scientific Analysis & Visualization of the Environment Program was first incubated. I was the principal investigator of this independant research project which was a joint development between MHPCC, Silicon Graphics Computers (SGI) & NKO.ORG. Using SGI Cosmo Worlds software, we pioneered the development of Internet based 3D virtual reality GIS based interactive worlds. In 1996 with a network of seven high performance SGI workstations we pioneered development of live streaming MPEG-1, MPEG-2, MPEG-4, Real Video and QuickTime Streaming Server utilizing Kassenna MediaBase software. In Maui 2002 we pioneered and tested the first wireless live streaming video using laptop computers and Maui Sky Fiber's portable 3G wireless device. In Maui we pioneered live streaming video using usb modems from AT&T , Verizon as well as live streaming from iPhone 3 over 3G wireless networks. Today The Maui S.A.V.E. Program has diversified into storm tracking including visualization and analysis of large, memory-intensive gridded data sets such as the National Hurricane Center's wind speed probabilities. I volunteer my services to numerous Disaster Services Organizations. In June 2013 I returned from Hurricane Sandy deployment as a computer operations service associate with the Disaster Services Technology Group assisting as The American Red Cross migrated from a Disaster Response Operation to Long Term Recovery Operations. Pioneering the production/editing and Internet distribution of HD video to sites like Youtube.com and Vimeo.com we are shining the light towards environmental and peace efforts of humans across the globe. Since 1992 I have held the vision of establishing Maui, Hawaii as the environmental sciences center of the world. After His Holiness the 14th Dalai Lama of Tibet came to Maui This vision has expanded to establishing Maui as the environmental & peace center of the world.

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